Showing posts with label Kentucky Preview. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Kentucky Preview. Show all posts

Thursday, July 9, 2015

Week 18 Preview: Kentucky

Kentucky Speedway

Quaker State 400


By Richard Tix

Last weekend at Daytona was, well, memorable to say the least. We have rain delay's, we have Austin Dillon winning the XFINITY race, we had a race start just before midnight on the East Coast, we had Dale Earnhardt Jr winning another race at Daytona, and we had Dillon and his car tearing into the catch fence.

I would say this week will have a heck of a lot less story lines, but heading into it we do have one big one: how will this new car package do? This question became even bigger when NASCAR announced a few more tracks that would also be running this package.

So, will this slow some of the drivers down who have been on fire at 1.5 mile tracks this year (figuratively as we know it literally will slow the cars speed down)? If so, it could be a huge key for some other guys looking to get momentum for the Chase.




The Good
  • Brad Keselowski- BK is the only multi time winner here at Kentucky (4 Cup races). Last year he won the pole and the race for his second of five 2014 wins. He actually lead 199 of 267 total laps which is the most anyone has lead in one race here. He has lead 68+ laps in 3 of his 4 starts here.
  • Kyle Busch- Kyle has lead the second most total laps here since Cup first started running at Kentucky (274 behind BK with 346). He was the pole and race winner in Kentucky's inaugural race in 2011. All of that to go along with 3 top 5's and 4 top 10's.
  • Matt Kenseth- Kenseth is the only other driver to have won here (BK and KB) in four races. He has four total top 10's and since joining JGR (2 races) he has back to back top 5's. However, after that being said he has only lead laps in the race he won in 2013 (38 laps). 
  • Extra Credit- Jimmie Johnson
The Middle
  • Kasey Kahne- With such little data a lot of drivers could make a case for a middle spot just outside of the "Good." Kahne gets the spot because he tends to find himself in the middle a lot on 1.5's. He only has 1 top 5 and 2 top 10's in 4 starts, but has yet to finish outside the top 13.
The Bad
  • Aric Almirola- Aric only has three starts here but he only has one top 20 in that time (15th in 2013). I normally judge Aric on finishing top 15 or top 20 and better because he is with RPM and not someone like HMS. But, he has to step up to make it off this list.
  • Greg Biffle- For a guy like Biffle, it is unacceptable to have only 1 top 20 in four starts on a 1.5 like this. It's as simple as that. Hard to see it getting much better while RFR struggles.
  • Paul Menard- Kentucky Speedway is not one of Menards better 1.5 tracks, and for that he finds the "Bad" list. Two top 20's in four starts (both top 15's) will not be good enough to leave this list.
Track Stats
  • Brad Keselowksi (2), Kyle Busch, and Matt Kenseth are th eonly three drivers to win a Cup race at Kentucky.
  • Kyle Busch, Matt Kenseth, Jimmie Johnson, and Jeff Gordon have all finished top 10 in each of the four races.
  • BK has lead the most career laps at Kentucky (336) followed by Kyle Busch (274), and Jimmie Johnson (203).
  • Kyle Busch is the only driver to have 3 top 5's in the first four races at Kentucky (four drivers have two). 
  • Only 9 drivers have run every lap at Kentucky in the four Cup races.
Track Info
  • Surface
    • Asphalt
  • Length
    • 1.5 mils
  • Banking
    • Turns: 14 degrees
    • Tri-Oval: 8-10 degrees
    • Straight: 4 degrees

Kentucky Speedway
Race
Date
Cars
Winner(s)
St
Make / Model
2011-18
7/9/2011
43
Kyle Busch
1
Toyota
2012-17
6/30/2012
43
Brad Keselowski
8
Dodge
2013-17
6/30/2013
43
Matt Kenseth
16
Toyota
2014-17
6/28/2014
42
Brad Keselowski
1
Ford




2014 Quaker State 400 Photos

Image result for 2014 quaker state 400
Weekend winner Brad Keselowski









Weekend Articles




Wednesday, June 25, 2014

Week 17 Preview: Kentucky

Kentucky Speedway

Quaker State 400


By Richard Tix

Last week NASCAR headed into wine country and its first taste of road course racing in the 2014 season. Surprising to some, a dark horse did not come in and steal a Chase spot at Sonoma (Carl Edwards, who already had a 2014 win, won).  This week NASCAR heads to Kentucky for a Saturday night Summer race which should provide some excitement. The interesting thing I am taking into Kentucky? The fact that this could be a wild card race when it comes to the race for the Chase. Three Cup races here is enough to get some data on who runs well here (and the fact that we can pull from similar tracks), but it also leaves the door open to a non win team to steal a win. Will it happen? The closer we get to the Chase the less of a probability there is, but I think this should be on teams radar. 

Kentucky Speedway doesn't have a lot of past stats to go off of for Cup (three races in fact). So this week will be a short view on the stats. You can also take a look back at last years preview and review from Kentucky for more on this track. Also, if you want a social media blast from the past check out Tweets of the Week: Kentucky. If you want a preview, Harraka hit another car on pit road before the race started, speculation started about the 3 coming back, Kyle Petty said Danica Patrick is not a "race car driver," and Denny Hamlin has a LOT of Jordon shoes.


The Good, Middle, and Bad
(This is just a review of each drivers recent past performance, generally about 5-10 past races)

The Good
  • Kyle Busch- Kyle is one of four drivers who have finished in the top 10 all 3 times the Cup Series has run here. He is also the only driver with 2 top 5's in those three races and to top it off he is 1 of 3 drivers to have a win. On the little stats we have at just Kentucky (I will not get into a fantasy side of it, where we could look at similar tracks), Kyle has to be included. 
  • Matt Kenseth- In the three races here, Kenseth is the only driver with a better average finish then Kyle Busch (4.7 compared to 5.3). Kenseth has finishes of 6th and 7th while he was with Roush but he upped that when he moved to Gibb's by winning last year.
  • Brad Keselowski- In BK's first to starts at Kentucky he led a total of 147, last year he lead zero. BK gets this spot as 1 of 3 winners at Kentucky. He did have a slip up with a bad outing last year after Kurt Busch got loose and started a wreck that tangled BK in it and ended up with him finishing 33rd. He has yet to start outside the top 10 and the way knock out qualifying has gone this year for Penske cars he should start with good track position. 
  • Extra Credit- Jimmie Johnson
The Middle
  • Kevin Harvick- Harvick is the definition of the middle in his three starts here (obviously I don't mean the middle as in finishing 20th, because that isn't worth going into). Rather, Harvick has one top 10 (10th) and no finishes lower then 16th. his finishes are 10th, 11th, and 16th. This year will be his first start with SHR so maybe he will break into the top 10 again.
The Bad
  • Josh Wise- You win the fan vote at the All-Star Race, and gain new sponsors online, then you are fair game to end up in this category. Fact is, in two starts, Wise has finishes of 37th and 39th. I can give guys free passes at other tracks where so many other top tier drivers have struggled, but this week its too easy to spotlight Wise.
  • Greg Biffle- In the three years NASCAR has come to this track Biffle has yet to record a top 10, in fact he hasn't even recorded a top 20! Last year he ran into bad luck, but the fact remains he hasn't even started the race out in the top 10 in three tries. 
  • Tony Stewart- Smoke has yet to finish in the top 10 at Kentucky with finishes of 12th, 32nd, and 20th. Last year Stewart was even heating up before coming to Kentucky. His previous three finishes (throwing out Sonoma) were 5th, 4th, and 1st. So what more does he need to get hot at Kentucky?
Track Stats
  • Kyle Busch won the first Cup race at Kentucky in 2011
  • Kyle Busch is the only driver to win from the Pole (2011)
  • Kyle Busch, Brad Keselowski, and Matt Kenseth are the three drivers who have won at Kentucky
  • The most cautions was last year, 2013, with 10 that went for 42 laps.
  • The first every Cup Race Qualifying was rained out in 2011. Kyle Busch started 1st.
  • That means, while Kyle started 1st, a driver has not yet won the Pole and won the race in three years.
  • The two Pole winners were Jimmie Johnson (2012) and Dale Earnhardt Jr (2013).
  • Kyle Busch has the most laps lead at Kentucky (243) followed by Jimmie Johnson (203).
  • Only 18 drivers have lead a lap at Kentucky in three years.
  • 10 drivers have run 801 of 801 laps here in three races. 

More Kentucky Articles: