Monday, March 18, 2013

Nascar Pit Road Week 4

Bristol Motor Speedway
 
My Bristol Motor Speedway preview started out by talking about Las Vegas and Matt Kenseth holding off Kasey Kahne for the win. Well this week Kasey Kahne was out front with a strong car at the end of the day and no one had time to catch him. After a late restart with about 40 laps to go Kahne pulled away. On the restart Brad Keselowski was lined up on the outside row and just couldn't get it going, so him and Kyle Busch (right behind BK on the restart) fell back quick and spent the rest of the race trying to catch up. Kyle and BK both had cars to win the race but never made up enough track position after that restart. After the race we had some good ole confrontation with ex JGR teammates Denny Hamlin and Joey Logano. It seems this little spat has been dragging on since Daytona when they got into it on Twitter after the race. This week after Hamlin bumped Logano and sent him spinning and into the wall, Logano approached Dennys car after the race. Nothing cam of it but after the race on Twitter they went back after it. You can check a bit of that conversation out here:

Next week could be fun if they get hooked up at Fontana. You can catch the rest of the results here: Food City 500


Rising, Coasting, and Falling drivers after Bristol Motor Speedway

Risers:
  • Clint Bowyer- After struggling all day at Las Vegas, Bowyer had a solid run and notched a top 5 finish in Bristol. That would be Bowyers second finish within the top 10 on the season and moves him back up to 4th in points.
  • Ryan Newman- I'm putting him in the risers, but that doesn't mean he is back yet. Newman finally stayed out of trouble (No engines or blown tires) and that resulted in a 7th place finish. Newman moved up 8 spots in the points and now has a to 5 and a top 10 on the season. If he doesn't have any struggles on the day he can start stringing some to 10s along the way.
  • Kasey Kahne- Last week Kahne just didn't have enough on the closing laps to pass birthday boy Matt Kenseth. This week after a late restart no one else in the field could catch him. It has been a pretty great start for Kahne and his team and he looks to be a possible title contender by seasons end.
  • Kurt Busch- Kurt has always been a very good driver at Bristol, but to see him take a small team car and finish 4th is definitely worth a spot on the risers. Most likely he will still have an up and down season with his team not being able to compete with the big boys, but finishes like this will make them remember him at least.
  • Honorable Mention: Brian Vickers (First race of the year, in for Mark Martin, and one top 10) and AJ Allmendinger
Coasting:
  • Dale Earnhardt Jr- This coasting section is starting to look familiar. Jr again adds to his fast start with a 6th place finish. Two top 10's and 2 top 5's to start the season out and Nascars most popular driver has moved into 2nd place in the standings.
  • Brad Keselowski- Unfortunately for Jr, Brad has done everything that much better finishing every race in the top 5 so far this season. Yet after races BK has still been disappointed that he hasn't notched a win yet. With this hot of a start it doesn't seem to be too far off before he gets his first of the season. BK finished 3rd this week behind Kyle Busch.
  • Paul Menard- I would also consider Menard to still be climbing as well considering his career he has been a top 20 driver, and the past two weeks he has put up back to back top 10 finishes. I don't think many expect him to stay a top 10 driver, but if he keeps up the way he has finished the past two weeks their is a chance he gets a win somewhere along the line and fights for a wild card spot. Menard brought home a 9th place finish at Bristol.
Falling:
  • Denny Hamlin- I don't think many believe Hamlin will stay down here for too long, but with all the fines and his Logano spats, plus the fact he has had two poor finishes in a row (15th and 23rd this week) their is no way Denny doesn't see his name on this list. By the end of Bristol Hamlins car was so hard to handle he was using the corner walls to steer him around the track. Look out for a bounce back at Fontana, either that or a run in with Logano, both are the same thing.
  • Jeff Burton- This far into the season and one of the veteran drivers who some thought could still make a late aged turnaround has as many DNF's as top 10's (One). Burton is all the way down in 25 for points and was a part of my "We're Going Streaking" article last week.
  • Tony Stewart- For Smoke it looked like Bristol could be the way to keep it going on the season and maybe even get a win after qualifying 8th but finding trouble had something to say about that. Smoke finished the race in 31st and dropped to 24th in points. He is part of a group of guys who should be a part of title contention that just need to put some quality races under their belts (Gordon, Newman, Harvick, and Burton).
  • Dishonorable Mention: Jeff Gordon, Aric Almirola, and Carl Edwards.

Pit Road (Week 4 Power Rankings)
  1. Brad Keselowski (LW-2)- Another race, another top 5. Also BK is a top the points after this weeks 3rd place finish.
  2. Dale Earnhardt Jr (LW-3)- Another race, another top 10. Jr has been just a step behind BK this season by finishing a few races in the top 10 and not top 5 like BK. Still the best start for Nascars most popular driver that he has ever had.
  3. Jimmie Johnson (LW-1)- JJ had a tough week finishing 22nd. He drops to 3rd on my rankings and also 3rd in the points standings.
  4. Kasey Kahne (LW-8)- Kahne gets the win and also makes a big move in the power rankings. That's a 2nd place finish and a win in the past two weeks.
  5. Carl Edwards (LW-4)- Not a good week for Carl, but he only moves down one spot. It may have been a bad week but Carl looks like he is back on track this season. Next week will prove if I am right or if he moves out of the top 10 completely.
  6. Greg Biffle (LW- 10)- Biffle just finished outside the top 10 (11th) and quietly is 5th in points so far.
  7. Matt Kenseth (LW-5)- Not at all his fault, Kenseth was in the wrong place at the wrong time (behind Gordon when he crashed). Other than some bad luck Kenseth hasn't had a misstep yet, unfortunatly bad luck has him on the bottom half of my rankings.....For now.
  8. Kyle Busch (LW-NR)- Kyle is stringing together some good races as of late. Upset that he didn't get the win, Kyle still had a car to win and finished 2nd at Bristol.
  9. Clint Bowyer (LW-NR)- Clint check back in to the power rankings after dropping out last week. He is still 4th in points and only had the one bad finish at Vegas. He is down here mostly because he hasn't seemed to be in contention to win those races. I think Clint could make a run up these rankings with a few more top 10's, or possibly a win to show he is contending like he was at the end of last year.
  10. Denny Hamlin (LW-6)- Tough spot right here. I think that Paul Menard deserves a chance at the top 10 in rankings, but too many drivers have been sticking around. Denny had a bad finish but he did lead 117 laps at Bristol. Hamlin is also still 6th in points and most, like myself, believe he will bounce back.
Dropped out: Mark Martin (didn't race) and Tony Stewart.
Just Missed- Paul Menard, Kevin Harvick, Martin Truex Jr, and Tony Stewart.

Disclosure from Bristol Motor Speedway Preview (Quick Link to Bristol Preview)
  • I'm always most interested in the Laying Low category. The good and bad drivers are nice, but that's just really how the drivers have fared in the past few races at the same track, not a lot of me picking who will be good or bad. But the Laying Low is where I try to find the diamond in the rough.
  • This weeks laying low was Juan Pablo Montoya, Jamie McMurray, Martin Truex Jr, and Brian Vickers. McMurray and Vickers finished in the top 10 and Truex finished just behind in 12th. Montoya was the dud of the week finishing 30th, but at Bristol that happens. (and when picking Montoya to do something that also happens)
  • Quickly, the drivers who have had bad luck in the past all seemed to keep the streak going. Smoke, Hamlin, and Edwards all had a down week and were in my Bad Category.
  • Also if you check out the Good Category it seemed to be of mixed results.
Updated Sprint Cup Standings can be found Here (They should also be up later this week on this blog Here)
Also check my Twitter page out with Recent Updates and Tweets from around Nascar.

And the Brackets are in, check out March Madness Nascar Style. New Article will be up but the Elite 8 drivers are: Kyle Busch v Clint Bowyer, Kasey Kahne v #55 Car, Brad Keselowski v Juan Pablo Montoya, and Kurt Busch v Paul Menard.

Saturday, March 16, 2013

March Madness Nascar Style

So here it is, the time they call March Madness. Well for Nascar Daytona has passed, and the Chase is a ways away. I guess visiting Bristol in March is Madness in Nascar, but I figured I would add to it. I have created a 32 driver tournament from points standings. Starting at Jimmie Johnson I have serpentine down the standings creating 4 regions. (So when I got to 5th, Carl Edwards, he went into the 4th Region which was Denny Hamlin, not JJ. In theory JJ should have it better because his #2 seed is actually the 8th guy in the standings) Just like in College Basketball it is all about the match ups.

Bristol Motor Speedway, Home to round of 32 and the Sweet 16

Here is how it works, so it doesn't get dragged out too long, the first match up and second match up will come from Bristol Results. (So the round of 32 and Sweet 16 will be determined this Sunday). Next the Elite 8 will be played (raced) at Fontana, CA. Martinsville results will be taken for the Final Four and the Championship race will be at Texas Motor Speedway. The winner each round will be determined by who had the most points in that given race. So once Nascar goes to Fontana it will only take into account the points in that race and not any from Bristol.

So who do you got? Here is how the bracket has been set, I will update after every race.

5 Time Winners Division Loud Mouth Division
1 Jimmie Johnson     1 Brad Keselowski
8 Travis Kvapil     8 Ryan Newman
           
4 Marcus Ambrose       4 Joey Logano
5 Kyle Busch 5 Tony Stewart
       
3 Clint Bowyer     3 Aric Almirola
6 Bobby Labante     6 Juan Pablo Montoya
           
2 Greg Biffle       2 Matt Kenseth
7 Casey Mears 7 David Reutimann
Drivers and Danica Division We Don't Pay Up Division
1 Dale Earnhardt Jr     1 Denny Hamlin
8 Danica Patrick     8 Kurt Busch
           
4 Kasey Kahne       4 Jeff Gordon
5 Kevin Harvick 5 Jamie McMurray
       
3 Ricky Stenhouse Jr     3 Paul Menard
6 Martin Truex Jr     6 Jeff Burton
           
2 #55 Car       2 Carl Edwards
7 Dave Blaney 7 JJ Yeley



**Brian Vickers in the spot of Mark Martin for Bristol, assuming Mark will be back for Sonoma, just listed as #55 Car**

A few interesting first round match up's:

1) Brad Keselowski vs 8) Ryan Newman
  • This would be a huge match up no matter the track. Newman has started off struggling which is why he ended up an eight seed (almost didn't make the cut) but we all know he can drive. With this being Bristol it is the perfect track to start out on because anything can happen. After all that's what is so great about the Big Dance.
1) Denny Hamlin vs 8) Kurt Busch
  • Denny has had some bad luck at Bristol in the past 6 here. He has either fared well or got caught up in a wreck. That's not a goo thing for him in first round since he is matched with Kurt. Kurt is a good driver here at Bristol and back in the day was one of the best. Possible upset in round one.
4) Kasey Kahne vs 5) Kevin Harvick
  • This is defiantly one of the closest match ups on paper. Both drivers can be Chase contenders at the end of the season. Not only this match up, but whoever gets out alive has a chance to take down #1 seed Dale Earnhardt Jr in the next round (Also scheduled for Bristol).
Possible second round match ups which is also determined at Bristol.

1) Dale Jr vs Kahne/Harvick
  • Whichever wins in round one, they will bring a possible upset in the Sweet 16 against Jr. The winner of this round could go on to the Final Four from the Division.
1) Jimmie Johnson vs 5) Kyle Busch
  • Kyle could be in victory lane at Bristol, which would mean he would get out of round one and take down Jimmie Johnson in the same race. Kyle can drive the wheels off of the car at Bristol so watch out for him to move along easily.
2) Greg Biffle vs 3) Clint Bowyer
  • Both very consistent drivers for the past few seasons, these two could match up in round two at Bristol this weekend. A close match up that would result in facing most likely Kyle Busch or Jimmie Johnson for a chance at the Final Four
Review of Races and Rounds:
  • Bristol Motor Speedway (3/17): Round of 32 and Sweet 16
  • Auto Club 400, Fontana, CA(3/24): Elite 8
  • Martinsville Speedway (5/7): Final Four
  • Texas Motor Speedway (5/13): Finals

Well that's it folks. Hurry up and fill out your bracket (Sorry no Million Dollar prize here for a perfect bracket) and let the Madness begin!

Tweets of the Week: Week 4 Bristol

Fantasy Updates, Weather Problems, Nascar Fines, Test Drives, and Golf Cart Crashes. Twitters best this week








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Also I will update more the closer we get to race day.

Friday, March 15, 2013

We're Going Streaking

A few weeks ago in Phoenix we witnessed Carl Edwards finally break his win less streak. After a few season's where it became normal to see Edwards do a back flip after finishing first, he went 70 races without thinking about acrobatics. The US Girls Gymnastics's team had achieved Gold in the meantime. At Phoenix International Speedway we got a glimpse of classic Carl and after that win he continued the hot streak with a 5th place finish. Carl had to be the most notable of divers to have a win less streak, but lets take a look at the drivers left and who could snap the streak this year. Boys we are streaking...

Martin Truex Jr

Truex's last win came in 2007 at Dover, it also happens to be his only win in his Sprint Cup Career. Truex has one top 10 on the season and that was last week at Las Vegas. He couldn't seem to stay out of trouble at Phoenix and finished up 36th. His Michael Waltrip teammate Clint Bowyer notched 3 wins last year while Truex had one of his finest seasons with 7 top 5's and 19 top 10's. It is only a matter of time before he gets his second win in the books. Look out at Dover this year, where he has his only win and also has two career poles.

**Update 6/25/13: Well it looks like at least one guy will get off this streaking list. Martin Truex Jr found a comfort in turning right and broke his streak at 218 races at Sonoma. Now the question is, is he done winning this year? He has been having another strong year and may get another one before one of these other guys get out of there slump.**
 
Mark Martin
 
Another Michael Waltrip driver and Truex's teammate, Mark Martin has been on a win less streak since 2009 at New Hampshire. That is 108 races, and 12 skipped races for Martin without winning.  Martin has 40 career victories and I don't know a Nascar fan that wouldn't mind seeing him get back to victory lane at least one more time. Mark Martin is 6th in the points standing so far with a 3rd place finish at Daytona and also had the pole at Phoenix. He has been a dream in the Aarons dream machine notching 10 top 5 finishes last year. Hope he has one last chance to celebrate in victory lane.
 
Jeff Burton
 
Jeff Burton has 21 career victories but hasn't celebrated one since 2008 at Charlotte. Burton use to be Mr. Consistent when it came to Nascar, qualifying for 3 straight years, (06, 07, and 08) he has only been back once in 2010. Burton has the longest active streak on this list as a driver who last won with the same team he is on currently, Richard Childress Racing. Burton is in the same boat as Martin, aging and looking for one last shot at glory. Both may go down as 1 and 2 of the greatest drivers never to win a Nascar Cup title.
 
Jamie McMurray
 
McMurray hasn't notched a win since 2010 at Charlotte, same as Burton. In 2010 McMurray also had 2 other wins giving him 3 on the season which doubled his total of his career. Last season McMurray was a non factor, only finishing in the top 10 three times. This season hasn't started much better with a 32nd, 22nd, and 13th, it could be another long season for McMurray.
 
Juan Pablo Montoya
 
Another teammate tandem on this list. Earnhardt Ganassi teammates McMurray and Juan Pablo are both in slumps but Montoya may have an easier out this season. 39th, 12th, and 13th so far on the season, Montoya hasn't started much better than McMurray, 2 top 10's last year, and only 2 career wins. All of these stats from the past are worse than McMurray, but Montoya has Road courses to fall back on. Montoyas last win was in 2010 at Watkins Glen (A road course). He has yet to win at an oval track, but look for a strong finish at Watkins Glen or Sonoma.
 
  • Other notables: Bobby Labante, David Reutimann, Casey Mears, and Terry Labante
 
So who is going to be the next Carl Edwards and break the win less streak and who is going to be Frank Ricard?




"We're..We're Going streaking!! We're going up the quad to the gymnasium."